Show HN: PolyBridge – a causal model for forecasting global events

Category: other

Tags: causal-inference, forecasting, market-analysis, scenario-analysis

Score: 4.3/10 (Innovation: 5, Technical: 4, Documentation: 2, Utility: 4)

PolyBridge is a causal modeling tool that lets users pose conditional questions about global events (e.g., 'If the Fed holds rates, what happens to EM sell-off probability?') and connects them to market-implied probabilities. It aims to provide foresight by linking scenarios to contributing markets, though the README is extremely minimal and the project appears to be an early-stage web app.

Target audience: financial analysts, data scientists, economists

Repository: https://polybridge.ai

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