Show HN: Pre-registered trading backtests – 27 kills, 2 passes, 0 funded

Category: ai-ml

Tags: backtesting, quantitative-finance, trading-strategies, pre-registration, falsification

Score: 6.7/10 (Innovation: 8, Technical: 7, Documentation: 6, Utility: 5)

The Falsification Kit is a collection of pre-registered backtests that rigorously test retail trading strategies for robustness, with a strong emphasis on avoiding overfitting and survivorship bias. It provides a pipeline that killed 27 out of 35 strategies, demonstrating that most apparent edges vanish under realistic trading friction. The project is notable for its transparency and systematic approach to falsifying trading hypotheses.

Target audience: quantitative traders, retail traders, financial analysts, data scientists

Repository: https://strategygraveyard.com

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